Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Staal 57.6% (-8.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 79.8%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 79.2%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 77.7%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 78.4%
78.4%
21.6%
Cirelli
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Cirelli
Staal
Last 8: Cirelli 1-7 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Staal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Cirelli
Staal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
5
Cirelli
Staal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
50.9% (709)
58.9% (1,096)
-8.0%
Power Play
43.4% (76)
68.4% (57)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
44.0% (150)
51.8% (222)
-7.8%
On power play, Staal has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Cirelli is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Cirelli shoots left. Staal is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (986).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Staal
Home
50.6% (494)
57.0% (646)
Away
47.6% (441)
59.1% (729)
By Period
Cirelli
Staal
P1
52.3%
55.9%
P2
45.4%
55.4%
P3
49.5%
62.0%
OT
62.5%
70.4%
Final 5 min
47.5%
63.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.2%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
58.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:25 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:06 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 24, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |