Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Norris 49.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Norris 67.6%
Defensive zone
Norris 54.3%
Neutral zone
Norris 56.3%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 58.6%
41.4%
58.6%
Cirelli
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Cirelli
Norris
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Norris
1
2
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
0
Cirelli
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
2
Cirelli
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
50.5% (388)
-0.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
47.6% (84)
+21.3%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
42.9% (7)
-6.2%
On power play, Cirelli has a +21.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Norris
Home
53.0% (470)
48.1% (233)
Away
45.0% (509)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Cirelli
Norris
P1
50.6%
53.1%
P2
49.2%
49.2%
P3
47.2%
48.4%
OT
30.8%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |