Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Norris on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Norris 52.1% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Norris leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 53.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 60.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 56.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 56.4%
56.4%
43.6%
Cirelli
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
16
(30 meetings)
14
16
Cirelli
Norris
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
3
Cirelli
Norris
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
4
1
Cirelli
Norris
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Norris
6
12
Cirelli
Norris
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
52.5% (3,089)
-2.8%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
53.4% (412)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
45.4% (240)
-1.6%
On power play, Cirelli has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Norris is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (2,419).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Norris
Home
49.6% (3,838)
53.1% (1,896)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
51.2% (1,845)
By Period
Cirelli
Norris
P1
49.9%
55.5%
P2
48.7%
51.5%
P3
49.3%
50.1%
OT
51.1%
39.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 19:40 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 2 | 02:56 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 16:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 14:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 09:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:20 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 04:36 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:24 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 12:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:26 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 12:14 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 17:05 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 3 | 05:01 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Dec 16, 2021 | 2 | 16:50 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |