Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (48.8% vs 49.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Rossi 49.7% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 57.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 58.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 50.8%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Cirelli
Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Rossi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
2
Cirelli
Rossi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
51.6% (440)
-1.5%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
35.1% (37)
+33.8%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
37.0% (27)
-0.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +33.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (347).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
53.0% (470)
50.0% (260)
Away
45.0% (509)
49.2% (244)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
50.6%
53.7%
P2
49.2%
47.6%
P3
47.2%
47.4%
OT
30.8%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |