Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Rossi 46.8% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 63.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 65.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 53.9%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 52.2%
47.8%
52.2%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Cirelli
Rossi
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
1
3
Cirelli
Rossi
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Cirelli
Rossi
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
46.8% (2,180)
+2.9%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
47.1% (189)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
34.1% (44)
+9.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,558).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
49.6% (3,838)
47.8% (1,225)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
45.4% (1,188)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
49.9%
47.1%
P2
48.7%
44.7%
P3
49.3%
48.2%
OT
51.1%
45.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Rossi
46.0%▼
51.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 3 | 07:04 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 2 | 04:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 12:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |