Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Rossi on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Rossi 46.5% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Rossi leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 61.4%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.7%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Cirelli
Rossi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
Cirelli
Rossi
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Rossi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rossi
0
3
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
2
1
Cirelli
Rossi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
1
Cirelli
Rossi
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Rossi
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,539)
46.6% (2,023)
+3.1%
Power Play
56.7% (561)
47.6% (185)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,157)
32.6% (43)
+11.2%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rossi shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,447).
Cirelli shoots left. Rossi is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,454).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Rossi
Home
49.6% (3,684)
47.1% (1,122)
Away
49.0% (3,573)
45.6% (1,129)
By Period
Cirelli
Rossi
P1
49.7%
47.0%
P2
48.7%
44.5%
P3
49.3%
47.6%
OT
51.6%
47.8%
Final 5 min
50.9%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
56.0%▲
45.0%
49.3%
Rossi
52.0%▲
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:48 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Nov 1, 2024 | 1 | 03:37 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:54 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 3 | 07:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 04:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:16 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 04:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |