Anthony Cirelli vs Mathew Barzal
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Barzal 42.2% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 21-17 in 38 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 55.9%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 77.5%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 71.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Cirelli
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
17
(38 meetings)
21
17
Cirelli
Barzal
Last 10: Cirelli 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barzal
5
8
Cirelli
Barzal
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
4
Cirelli
Barzal
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
5
Cirelli
Barzal
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
41.9% (3,571)
+7.8%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
43.4% (205)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
42.3% (26)
+1.5%
On power play, Cirelli has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Barzal is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,704).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Barzal
Home
49.6% (3,838)
43.2% (1,901)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
40.9% (1,901)
By Period
Cirelli
Barzal
P1
49.9%
40.6%
P2
48.7%
44.6%
P3
49.3%
41.1%
OT
51.1%
27.6%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 05:01 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 01:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 14:03 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 06:13 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 15:42 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 3 | 17:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 2 | 09:54 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 2, 2025 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:21 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 2 | 04:14 | Defensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 16:37 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 15, 2021 | 1 | 13:59 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |