Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Duchene 51.8% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 64.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 66.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 57.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Cirelli
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
51.1% (366)
-1.0%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
61.5% (65)
+7.4%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
16.7% (6)
+20.0%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +20.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
53.0% (470)
51.7% (201)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
50.6%
49.0%
P2
49.2%
57.1%
P3
47.2%
49.2%
OT
30.8%
60.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%