Anthony Cirelli vs Matt Duchene
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Duchene 54.1% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 16-14 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Duchene 79.2%
Defensive zone
Duchene 52.9%
Neutral zone
Duchene 66.5%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Cirelli
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
14
(30 meetings)
16
14
Cirelli
Duchene
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
4
6
Cirelli
Duchene
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
10
3
Cirelli
Duchene
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
2
5
Cirelli
Duchene
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
53.9% (10,438)
-4.2%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
57.0% (1,677)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
49.1% (468)
-5.3%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +5.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,089).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Duchene
Home
49.6% (3,838)
55.6% (6,430)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
52.7% (6,177)
By Period
Cirelli
Duchene
P1
49.9%
54.4%
P2
48.7%
54.5%
P3
49.3%
53.4%
OT
51.1%
56.3%
Final 5 min
50.9%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 1 | 17:29 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:17 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 07:05 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 9, 2021 | 1 | 17:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 03:19 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 2 | 02:54 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 8, 2021 | 1 | 10:57 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 1, 2021 | 2 | 13:55 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 19:14 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 3 | 11:26 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 2 | 04:01 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 30, 2021 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |