Anthony Cirelli vs Morgan Frost
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Morgan Frost holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 12 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Frost 50.6% (-1.3%)
H2H factor
Frost leads 17-17 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 71.0%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 71.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.3%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Cirelli
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
17
(34 meetings)
17
17
Cirelli
Frost
Last 10: Cirelli 5-5 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
10
Cirelli
Frost
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
6
2
Cirelli
Frost
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
9
5
Cirelli
Frost
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
49.7% (3,652)
+0.0%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
55.4% (632)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
55.0% (40)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Frost
Home
49.6% (3,838)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Cirelli
Frost
P1
49.9%
51.2%
P2
48.7%
51.3%
P3
49.3%
48.8%
OT
51.1%
64.9%
Final 5 min
50.9%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 14:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 08:25 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 18:56 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 12:05 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 1 | 12:48 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 10:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Mar 9, 2024 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 14:34 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2024 | 3 | 03:08 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |