Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Kadri 46.9% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.5%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 67.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 51.1%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
Cirelli
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Cirelli
Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kadri
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
0
1
Cirelli
Kadri
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
46.5% (866)
+3.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
48.8% (86)
+20.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
38.5% (13)
-1.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +20.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kadri
Home
53.0% (470)
45.8% (513)
Away
45.0% (509)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Cirelli
Kadri
P1
50.6%
52.4%
P2
49.2%
48.5%
P3
47.2%
39.7%
OT
30.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |