Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.6%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 16 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kadri 48.6% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 30-26 in 56 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 66.2%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 63.1%
Neutral zone
Kadri 51.7%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Cirelli
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
26
(56 meetings)
30
26
Cirelli
Kadri
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
4
9
Cirelli
Kadri
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
12
4
Cirelli
Kadri
16 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
14
13
Cirelli
Kadri
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
48.1% (12,555)
+1.6%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
53.0% (1,892)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
41.0% (293)
+2.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +3.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kadri
Home
49.6% (3,838)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Cirelli
Kadri
P1
49.9%
49.1%
P2
48.7%
48.7%
P3
49.3%
47.9%
OT
51.1%
49.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 02:15 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 04:31 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 17:10 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:24 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:14 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Feb 27, 2025 | 1 | 00:34 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 14:40 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:35 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:29 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 08:23 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |