Anthony Cirelli vs Oliver Kapanen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Kapanen 47.1% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 65.8%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 51.8%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 59.5%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Cirelli
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
46.5% (527)
+3.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
54.8% (42)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
39.5% (38)
-2.8%
On power play, Cirelli has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Kapanen is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kapanen
Home
53.0% (470)
47.0% (315)
Away
45.0% (509)
46.2% (292)
By Period
Cirelli
Kapanen
P1
50.6%
41.6%
P2
49.2%
50.7%
P3
47.2%
47.6%
OT
30.8%
25.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
44.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |