Anthony Cirelli vs Oliver Kapanen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kapanen on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Kapanen 46.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kapanen 66.9%
Defensive zone
Kapanen 50.7%
Neutral zone
Kapanen 58.7%
Result
Oliver Kapanen favored at 62.8%
37.2%
62.8%
Cirelli
Kapanen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
Last 6: Cirelli 2-4 Kapanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kapanen
0
4
Cirelli
Kapanen
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Kapanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Kapanen
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
46.3% (572)
+3.4%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
50.9% (53)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
39.5% (38)
+4.3%
On power play, Cirelli has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kapanen shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Kapanen is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (493).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Kapanen
Home
49.6% (3,838)
46.3% (348)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
46.3% (315)
By Period
Cirelli
Kapanen
P1
49.9%
41.7%
P2
48.7%
49.6%
P3
49.3%
47.5%
OT
51.1%
25.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Kapanen
32.0%▼
47.0%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:14 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 28, 2025 | 2 | 15:28 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 18:03 | Offensive | Oliver Kapanen |
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 09:48 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |