Anthony Cirelli vs Pavel Buchnevich
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Buchnevich 43.3% (+8.6%)
Offensive zone
Buchnevich 66.1%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 68.3%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 50.3%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Cirelli
Buchnevich
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
40.5% (190)
+9.6%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
42.9% (14)
+26.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
30.0% (10)
+6.7%
On power play, Cirelli has a +26.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cirelli is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Cirelli shoots left. Buchnevich is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Home
53.0% (470)
40.7% (118)
Away
45.0% (509)
39.6% (96)
By Period
Cirelli
Buchnevich
P1
50.6%
42.3%
P2
49.2%
37.5%
P3
47.2%
40.3%
OT
30.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
40.2%