Anthony Cirelli vs Pavel Buchnevich
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +14.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Buchnevich 36.0% (+14.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.6%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 82.9%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 73.6%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Last 7: Cirelli 4-3 Buchnevich
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Buchnevich
0
1
Cirelli
Buchnevich
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Buchnevich
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
3
2
Cirelli
Buchnevich
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
34.5% (931)
+15.2%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
44.2% (52)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
24.3% (37)
+19.5%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +19.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Buchnevich shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Buchnevich is 33.5% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Buchnevich
Home
49.6% (3,838)
35.6% (517)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
33.6% (503)
By Period
Cirelli
Buchnevich
P1
49.9%
35.2%
P2
48.7%
34.8%
P3
49.3%
33.4%
OT
51.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.9%
38.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Buchnevich
48.0%▲
41.0%
34.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 16:04 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:25 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 11:50 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 3 | 10:29 | Neutral | Pavel Buchnevich |
| Nov 14, 2019 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Pavel Buchnevich |