Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 49.2%). Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Zacha 49.2% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 20-10 in 30 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 66.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 50.7%
Neutral zone
Zacha 56.0%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 57.2%
42.8%
57.2%
Cirelli
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
10
(30 meetings)
20
10
Cirelli
Zacha
Last 10: Cirelli 6-4 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
4
5
Cirelli
Zacha
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
1
Cirelli
Zacha
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
8
4
Cirelli
Zacha
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
48.9% (5,156)
+0.8%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
55.7% (813)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
42.2% (557)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Zacha
Home
49.6% (3,838)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Cirelli
Zacha
P1
49.9%
49.9%
P2
48.7%
49.2%
P3
49.3%
48.2%
OT
51.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.9%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 19:36 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 13, 2025 | 3 | 18:16 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 15, 2025 | 3 | 12:21 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 16:56 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 14:07 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 14, 2025 | 1 | 00:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:32 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 01:06 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Feb 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:21 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Jan 6, 2024 | 2 | 07:16 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 3 | 07:47 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 12:22 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 08:27 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 02:42 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |