Anthony Cirelli vs Ryan O'Reilly
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on offensive-zone draws (59% H2H, 41 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs O'Reilly 56.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 57-50 in 107 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 78.6%
Defensive zone
O'Reilly 64.9%
Neutral zone
O'Reilly 72.9%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
57
-
50
(107 meetings)
57
50
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
24
17
Cirelli
O'Reilly
41 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
19
17
Cirelli
O'Reilly
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
14
16
Cirelli
O'Reilly
30 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
56.2% (15,290)
-6.5%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
58.7% (3,457)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
51.4% (2,826)
-7.6%
On penalty kill, O'Reilly has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Cirelli is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,652).
Cirelli shoots left. O'Reilly is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (13,901).
Home / Away
Cirelli
O'Reilly
Home
49.6% (3,838)
57.6% (10,799)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
54.4% (10,807)
By Period
Cirelli
O'Reilly
P1
49.9%
55.6%
P2
48.7%
57.0%
P3
49.3%
55.0%
OT
51.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
50.9%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
O'Reilly
54.0%▬
55.0%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 02:02 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 29, 2026 | 1 | 07:59 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:54 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:47 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 3 | 03:45 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 2 | 01:14 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:30 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 28, 2025 | 1 | 15:27 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |