Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 48.9% vs Pinto 51.1% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Cirelli 66.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 61.1%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 59.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 5: Cirelli 2-3 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Cirelli
Pinto
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
0
2
Cirelli
Pinto
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
1
0
Cirelli
Pinto
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
50.1% (668)
50.5% (556)
-0.4%
Power Play
68.9% (90)
68.0% (25)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (221)
51.1% (94)
-14.4%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (324).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
53.0% (470)
50.0% (310)
Away
45.0% (509)
52.3% (365)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
50.6%
51.8%
P2
49.2%
49.8%
P3
47.2%
53.1%
OT
30.8%
44.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
48.8%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |