Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Pinto 50.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 54.0%
Defensive zone
Pinto 62.4%
Neutral zone
Pinto 56.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Cirelli
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Cirelli
Pinto
Last 10: Cirelli 3-7 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
3
6
Cirelli
Pinto
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
5
Cirelli
Pinto
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
5
1
Cirelli
Pinto
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
50.7% (2,752)
-1.0%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
54.4% (90)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
45.6% (239)
-1.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,216).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Pinto
Home
49.6% (3,838)
51.1% (1,510)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
49.6% (1,571)
By Period
Cirelli
Pinto
P1
49.9%
48.4%
P2
48.7%
51.9%
P3
49.3%
50.9%
OT
51.1%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Pinto
54.0%▲
52.5%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 19:51 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 17:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 15:57 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 9, 2025 | 3 | 18:51 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:58 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:52 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:41 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 03:53 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:23 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:17 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:55 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Apr 11, 2024 | OT | 00:38 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:08 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:18 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:35 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |