Anthony Cirelli vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anthony Cirelli holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Cirelli on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 18 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cirelli 49.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (+6.7%)
H2H factor
Cirelli leads 33-20 in 53 meetings
Offensive zone
Cirelli 84.7%
Defensive zone
Cirelli 93.4%
Neutral zone
Cirelli 84.4%
Result
Anthony Cirelli favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Cirelli
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
33
-
20
(53 meetings)
33
20
Cirelli
Thompson
Last 10: Cirelli 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
7
5
Cirelli
Thompson
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Cirelli
14
4
Cirelli
Thompson
18 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Cirelli
12
11
Cirelli
Thompson
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cirelli
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
49.7% (5,739)
42.9% (3,540)
+6.8%
Power Play
56.9% (578)
46.9% (373)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (1,209)
33.6% (265)
+10.2%
On penalty kill, Cirelli has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. Cirelli is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,874).
Cirelli shoots left. Thompson is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,029).
Home / Away
Cirelli
Thompson
Home
49.6% (3,838)
44.8% (2,135)
Away
49.1% (3,688)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
Cirelli
Thompson
P1
49.9%
44.4%
P2
48.7%
43.7%
P3
49.3%
40.0%
OT
51.1%
36.4%
Final 5 min
50.9%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cirelli
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Thompson
36.0%▼
40.0%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 04:28 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 3 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 10:40 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Mar 8, 2026 | 1 | 08:54 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:24 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 5, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 04:34 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 02:38 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 13:01 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 00:59 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:47 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Mar 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Apr 15, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 3 | 19:21 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 07:12 | Defensive | Anthony Cirelli |
| Jan 20, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anthony Cirelli |