Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 48.6% vs Novak 45.0% (-9.4%)
Offensive zone
Novak 59.9%
Defensive zone
Novak 61.5%
Neutral zone
Novak 56.1%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (9)
42.9% (198)
-9.6%
On even strength, Novak has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (126).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
50.0% (6)
40.9% (110)
Away
0.0% (3)
44.5% (110)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
33.3%
39.1%
P2
50.0%
43.9%
P3
0.0%
44.9%
Final 5 min
0.0%
25.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
33.3%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
42.7%