Scouting Report
Tommy Novak holds a +15.8% FO% edge overall. Mantha wins 26.1% vs left-shot opponents — Novak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mantha 42.9% vs Novak 42.5% (-15.8%)
Offensive zone
Novak 62.8%
Defensive zone
Novak 56.4%
Neutral zone
Mantha 55.4%
Result
Tommy Novak favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Mantha
Novak
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mantha
Novak
Edge
Even Strength
30.0% (30)
40.4% (408)
-10.4%
Power Play
10.0% (10)
45.5% (33)
-35.5%
On power play, Novak has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Novak shoots left. Mantha is 26.1% vs left-shot opponents (23).
Mantha shoots left. Novak is 41.6% vs left-shot opponents (286).
Home / Away
Mantha
Novak
Home
22.7% (22)
42.0% (212)
Away
27.8% (18)
39.7% (229)
By Period
Mantha
Novak
P1
36.8%
41.9%
P2
7.7%
39.3%
P3
25.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
44.4%
39.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mantha
26.0%▼
39.5%
25.0%
Novak
32.0%▼
39.5%
40.8%