Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — McDavid shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs McDavid 48.1% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 50.4%
Defensive zone
Lundell 76.3%
Neutral zone
Lundell 56.3%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Lundell
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundell
McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
McDavid
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
McDavid
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
47.7% (686)
+5.0%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
49.3% (75)
+3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
48.9% (45)
-1.6%
On even strength, Lundell has a +5.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. McDavid is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (580).
Home / Away
Lundell
McDavid
Home
51.0% (574)
50.0% (412)
Away
52.6% (546)
45.7% (394)
By Period
Lundell
McDavid
P1
52.9%
48.0%
P2
55.8%
48.5%
P3
47.1%
47.1%
OT
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |