Anton Lundell vs Connor McDavid
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Anton Lundell holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lundell on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs McDavid 47.8% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Lundell leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.6%
Defensive zone
Lundell 72.1%
Neutral zone
Lundell 65.9%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Lundell
McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
5
(20 meetings)
15
5
Lundell
McDavid
Last 10: Lundell 9-1 McDavid
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
0
Lundell
McDavid
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Lundell
McDavid
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
10
3
Lundell
McDavid
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
47.7% (8,394)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
52.1% (374)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
43.8% (281)
+1.0%
On power play, Lundell has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Lundell
McDavid
Home
50.7% (2,304)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Lundell
McDavid
P1
52.0%
46.5%
P2
51.4%
48.7%
P3
49.0%
48.3%
OT
48.1%
42.2%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
McDavid
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2026 | 1 | 18:07 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 06:30 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:30 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:32 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 10:10 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 09:57 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:43 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 10:36 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 20, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 3 | 14:38 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 04:07 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Nov 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Nov 12, 2022 | 1 | 05:20 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 10:53 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 26, 2022 | 2 | 04:03 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |