Scouting Report
Ridly Greig holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lundell wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 52.7% vs Greig 53.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 52.9%
Defensive zone
Greig 78.1%
Neutral zone
Greig 64.7%
Result
Ridly Greig favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Lundell
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Lundell
Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Greig
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundell
Greig
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (804)
53.6% (280)
+1.0%
Power Play
50.6% (81)
61.3% (31)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (138)
56.5% (69)
-11.6%
On penalty kill, Greig has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lundell is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (701).
Lundell shoots left. Greig is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (166).
Home / Away
Lundell
Greig
Home
51.2% (527)
56.2% (185)
Away
54.8% (496)
53.3% (195)
By Period
Lundell
Greig
P1
53.7%
52.8%
P2
51.7%
51.6%
P3
54.1%
59.5%
Final 5 min
53.2%
58.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.0%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
54.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:40 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 00:21 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 12:45 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 11:05 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |