Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 51.3%). Look for Lundell on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Greig shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Greig 51.1% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundell 66.4%
Defensive zone
Greig 65.4%
Neutral zone
Greig 50.1%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Lundell
Greig
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Lundell
Greig
Last 6: Lundell 4-2 Greig
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
3
1
Lundell
Greig
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Greig
0
1
Lundell
Greig
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Greig
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Greig
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
51.9% (347)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
66.7% (24)
-14.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
44.8% (87)
+2.5%
On power play, Greig has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Greig shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Greig is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (238).
Home / Away
Lundell
Greig
Home
51.0% (574)
50.4% (254)
Away
52.6% (546)
52.5% (204)
By Period
Lundell
Greig
P1
52.9%
45.9%
P2
55.8%
60.1%
P3
47.1%
49.2%
OT
46.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.8%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Greig
58.0%▲
52.0%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:52 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 02:44 | Offensive | Ridly Greig |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 13:40 | Defensive | Ridly Greig |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:38 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |