Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.8% vs 52.7%). Look for Lundell on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Lundell wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 51.6% vs Monahan 52.5% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 53.0%
Defensive zone
Lundell 58.6%
Neutral zone
Monahan 57.6%
Result
Anton Lundell favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Lundell
Monahan
Last 5: Lundell 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
1
0
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
2
1
Lundell
Monahan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Lundell
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (786)
53.0% (874)
-0.3%
Power Play
52.6% (152)
54.7% (161)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (182)
47.5% (101)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (783).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (710).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
51.0% (574)
53.8% (558)
Away
52.6% (546)
51.7% (578)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
52.9%
49.5%
P2
55.8%
54.8%
P3
47.1%
52.8%
OT
46.2%
61.9%
Final 5 min
50.8%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
51.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |