Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.8% vs 51.2%). Look for Monahan on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundell 50.7% vs Monahan 51.2% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.9%
Defensive zone
Lundell 64.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Lundell
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
Lundell
Monahan
Last 10: Lundell 4-6 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
4
5
Lundell
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundell
4
2
Lundell
Monahan
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Lundell
Monahan
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundell
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (3,486)
51.1% (11,407)
+0.0%
Power Play
55.6% (358)
53.6% (2,582)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (504)
45.9% (772)
-1.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Lundell is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,891).
Lundell shoots left. Monahan is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,335).
Home / Away
Lundell
Monahan
Home
50.7% (2,304)
52.3% (7,387)
Away
50.9% (2,044)
50.2% (7,374)
By Period
Lundell
Monahan
P1
52.0%
51.0%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
49.0%
51.0%
OT
48.1%
53.5%
Final 5 min
52.0%
50.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundell
46.0%▼
49.0%
50.8%
Monahan
40.0%▼
51.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 15:02 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Mar 5, 2026 | 3 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 02:19 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 6, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 17:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 2 | 00:41 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 15, 2024 | 1 | 10:18 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 15:26 | Neutral | Anton Lundell |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 10:08 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 30, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:40 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 14:06 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 18, 2022 | 1 | 10:11 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 3 | 18:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 4, 2022 | 1 | 16:42 | Offensive | Anton Lundell |