Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Nelson 50.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 19-6 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 93.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 85.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 87.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
19
-
6
(25 meetings)
19
6
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
1
Kopitar
Nelson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Nelson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
2
Kopitar
Nelson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
50.9% (928)
+5.2%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
59.8% (179)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
43.4% (205)
+8.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +8.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (854).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
57.3% (553)
52.9% (654)
Away
56.4% (566)
48.9% (658)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
56.5%
48.4%
P2
58.0%
54.3%
P3
56.1%
50.5%
OT
57.9%
41.2%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |