Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 36 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nelson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Nelson 48.3% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 65-32 in 97 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 95.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 97.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 95.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 95.9%
95.9%
4.1%
Kopitar
Nelson
Head-to-Head Record
65
-
32
(97 meetings)
65
32
Kopitar
Nelson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Nelson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
25
11
Kopitar
Nelson
36 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
20
13
Kopitar
Nelson
33 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
20
8
Kopitar
Nelson
28 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Nelson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
47.9% (9,744)
+6.7%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
54.7% (1,149)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
43.8% (790)
+4.6%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nelson shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Nelson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (7,584).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Nelson
Home
55.3% (11,663)
50.1% (5,878)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
46.5% (5,806)
By Period
Kopitar
Nelson
P1
54.5%
48.7%
P2
54.9%
48.6%
P3
53.9%
47.7%
OT
59.3%
45.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Nelson
56.0%▬
55.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 17:13 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 13:05 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:30 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 04:20 | Offensive | Brock Nelson |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 15:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 17:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 10:13 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 04:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 01:04 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 1 | 00:51 | Neutral | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 17:34 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:15 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 03:18 | Defensive | Brock Nelson |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |