Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 55.4%). Look for Larkin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Larkin 55.0% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Larkin leads 15-5 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 58.2%
Defensive zone
Larkin 56.2%
Neutral zone
Larkin 52.4%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 55.3%
44.7%
55.3%
Kopitar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
15
(20 meetings)
5
15
Kopitar
Larkin
Last 10: Kopitar 1-9 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
6
Kopitar
Larkin
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
0
3
Kopitar
Larkin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Larkin
3
6
Kopitar
Larkin
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
55.9% (943)
+0.5%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
57.4% (244)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
46.2% (106)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Larkin is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (825).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larkin
Home
56.1% (786)
56.0% (654)
Away
54.0% (774)
54.8% (639)
By Period
Kopitar
Larkin
P1
56.2%
54.4%
P2
55.4%
55.9%
P3
53.0%
55.2%
OT
70.0%
64.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
55.1%
Larkin
50.0%▬
50.0%
55.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:51 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:06 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 15:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 18:34 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 13:04 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 05:49 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 17:54 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 15:43 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 4, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |