Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (53% H2H, 45 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Larkin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Larkin 52.7% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 63-54 in 117 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 58.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 63.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 63.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Kopitar
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
63
-
54
(117 meetings)
63
54
Kopitar
Larkin
Last 10: Kopitar 9-1 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
24
21
Kopitar
Larkin
45 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
20
17
Kopitar
Larkin
37 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
19
16
Kopitar
Larkin
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
51.6% (9,056)
+3.0%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
58.6% (2,140)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
50.2% (1,124)
-1.8%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,876).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Larkin
Home
55.3% (11,663)
53.9% (6,277)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
51.4% (6,043)
By Period
Kopitar
Larkin
P1
54.5%
52.7%
P2
54.9%
53.1%
P3
53.9%
52.0%
OT
59.3%
58.4%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 04:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | OT | 03:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 19:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:14 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:56 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 3 | 03:46 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 08:38 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 2 | 04:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 19:56 | Defensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 27, 2025 | 1 | 13:17 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:00 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:24 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 14:11 | Neutral | Dylan Larkin |