Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 53.6% vs Pavelski 57.8% (-4.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Pavelski 68.1%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 74.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 68.8%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 70.7%
29.3%
70.7%
Kopitar
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Kopitar
Pavelski
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
2
Kopitar
Pavelski
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
4
5
Kopitar
Pavelski
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Pavelski
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (982)
57.8% (569)
-3.2%
Power Play
54.0% (235)
60.2% (161)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (176)
59.5% (121)
-11.2%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +11.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kopitar is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (454).
Kopitar shoots left. Pavelski is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (681).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Pavelski
Home
52.1% (703)
61.0% (403)
Away
55.5% (715)
56.6% (461)
By Period
Kopitar
Pavelski
P1
54.9%
62.9%
P2
56.3%
56.6%
P3
49.5%
57.1%
OT
65.5%
57.9%
Final 5 min
52.1%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
53.8%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
58.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 06:51 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:07 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 3 | 04:32 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 05:02 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 07:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 5, 2012 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 05:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 3 | 02:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 2 | 02:20 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2012 | 1 | 04:31 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:26 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Dec 23, 2011 | 2 | 17:55 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2011 | 2 | 06:27 | Neutral | Joe Pavelski |