Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Pavelski on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Pavelski 52.2% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 62.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.7%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.2%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Kopitar
Pavelski
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Pavelski
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Pavelski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pavelski
1
2
Kopitar
Pavelski
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Pavelski
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Pavelski
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
52.5% (570)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
54.5% (145)
+6.1%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
44.4% (36)
+2.5%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Pavelski
Home
57.2% (778)
55.0% (391)
Away
56.5% (731)
49.7% (360)
By Period
Kopitar
Pavelski
P1
56.3%
50.8%
P2
57.1%
55.0%
P3
57.0%
52.0%
OT
59.5%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
56.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 17:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 9, 2021 | 1 | 13:49 | Offensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 02:16 | Defensive | Joe Pavelski |
| Oct 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |