Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Stenlund 54.2% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.6%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.1%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 59.1%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 58.1%
41.9%
58.1%
Kopitar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
Kopitar
Stenlund
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
7
Kopitar
Stenlund
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
56.2% (650)
-0.1%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
53.2% (47)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
51.6% (312)
+0.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Stenlund is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (688).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stenlund
Home
57.3% (553)
56.9% (483)
Away
56.4% (566)
52.5% (526)
By Period
Kopitar
Stenlund
P1
56.5%
54.2%
P2
58.0%
53.2%
P3
56.1%
56.9%
OT
57.9%
42.1%
Final 5 min
56.3%
57.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |