Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.6% vs 54.0%). Look for Stenlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Stenlund 53.9% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Stenlund leads 22-18 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 65.4%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 82.2%
Neutral zone
Stenlund 62.5%
Result
Kevin Stenlund favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Kopitar
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
22
(40 meetings)
18
22
Kopitar
Stenlund
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
17
0
Kopitar
Stenlund
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
21
Kopitar
Stenlund
21 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Stenlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
55.3% (2,738)
-0.7%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
52.6% (116)
+6.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
50.4% (924)
-2.0%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,846).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Stenlund
Home
55.3% (11,663)
54.3% (1,873)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
53.8% (1,905)
By Period
Kopitar
Stenlund
P1
54.5%
56.2%
P2
54.9%
53.3%
P3
53.9%
53.0%
OT
59.3%
52.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Stenlund
56.0%▼
59.0%
54.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 3 | 02:23 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 18:38 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 10:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 18:19 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 19:39 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 15:08 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 3 | 14:22 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 05:01 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 17:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:09 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 18:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 15:01 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 2 | 06:32 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 22, 2025 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |