Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 57.6% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Carlsson 44.6% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 91.1%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 90.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 83.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.4%
88.4%
11.6%
Kopitar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Kopitar
Carlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
1
3
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Carlsson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
45.0% (695)
+11.1%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
46.4% (84)
+16.9%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
32.9% (85)
+18.7%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (761).
Kopitar shoots left. Carlsson is 42.8% vs left-shot opponents (573).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carlsson
Home
57.3% (553)
42.5% (435)
Away
56.4% (566)
45.5% (429)
By Period
Kopitar
Carlsson
P1
56.5%
45.3%
P2
58.0%
38.7%
P3
56.1%
48.5%
OT
57.9%
41.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
38.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |