Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +13.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Carlsson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Carlsson 41.1% (+13.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 16-12 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 88.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 89.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 88.2%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 88.9%
88.9%
11.1%
Kopitar
Carlsson
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
12
(28 meetings)
16
12
Kopitar
Carlsson
Last 10: Kopitar 7-3 Carlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carlsson
2
6
Kopitar
Carlsson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
4
Kopitar
Carlsson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
9
2
Kopitar
Carlsson
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
40.9% (1,878)
+13.7%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
42.9% (156)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
34.7% (121)
+13.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,187).
Kopitar shoots left. Carlsson is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,512).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carlsson
Home
55.3% (11,663)
42.2% (1,051)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
39.2% (1,104)
By Period
Kopitar
Carlsson
P1
54.5%
43.3%
P2
54.9%
36.2%
P3
53.9%
43.3%
OT
59.3%
40.7%
Final 5 min
55.0%
39.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Carlsson
32.0%▼
39.0%
40.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 05:55 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:33 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 15:24 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 11:02 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 10:42 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 12:55 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 11:02 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 28, 2025 | 1 | 18:50 | Defensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 07:30 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 8, 2025 | 2 | 03:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 20, 2024 | 2 | 18:38 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 01:17 | Neutral | Leo Carlsson |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 06:52 | Offensive | Leo Carlsson |