Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKinnon on neutral-zone draws (72% H2H, 18 meetings). Kopitar wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.7% vs MacKinnon 48.7% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
MacKinnon leads 18-13 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 67.7%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 76.7%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 74.4%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 72.8%
27.2%
72.8%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
18
(31 meetings)
13
18
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
7
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Kopitar
MacKinnon
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
5
13
Kopitar
MacKinnon
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (742)
48.5% (439)
+7.0%
Power Play
63.9% (219)
54.8% (42)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
56.5% (193)
25.0% (12)
+31.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +31.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (424).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
58.7% (557)
52.5% (221)
Away
55.9% (597)
45.2% (272)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
55.9%
50.5%
P2
60.3%
45.5%
P3
55.6%
48.5%
OT
62.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
66.1%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
57.3%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 16:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 2 | 05:22 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 13:28 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 02:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:18 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 12, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 13:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 02:09 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 17:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:26 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |