Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs MacKinnon 51.0% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 56.9%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 88.7%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 75.3%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 79.6%
79.6%
20.4%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 7: Kopitar 5-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
MacKinnon
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
2
Kopitar
MacKinnon
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
49.7% (1,038)
+6.4%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
63.7% (157)
-0.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
34.4% (32)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (886).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
57.3% (553)
53.1% (618)
Away
56.4% (566)
49.1% (609)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
56.5%
49.3%
P2
58.0%
53.0%
P3
56.1%
50.7%
OT
57.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
MacKinnon
44.0%▼
50.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 19:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 16:56 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 09:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:32 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 7, 2025 | 2 | 19:18 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |