Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (92% H2H, 12 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs MacKinnon 46.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 17-8 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 85.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 85.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 93.5%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
8
(25 meetings)
17
8
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
3
Kopitar
MacKinnon
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
4
Kopitar
MacKinnon
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
11
1
Kopitar
MacKinnon
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
45.5% (1,190)
+10.9%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
56.4% (94)
+0.9%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
40.0% (30)
+5.5%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. MacKinnon is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Kopitar
MacKinnon
Home
56.1% (786)
47.8% (670)
Away
54.0% (774)
44.6% (644)
By Period
Kopitar
MacKinnon
P1
56.2%
45.3%
P2
55.4%
48.5%
P3
53.0%
45.0%
OT
70.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
54.0%▼
59.5%
55.1%
MacKinnon
54.0%▬
54.5%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 15:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 08:56 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 06:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 14:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 12:39 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 02:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 17:21 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 05:53 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 19:55 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |