Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Dowd 48.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 97.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.0%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 84.0%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 84.1%
84.1%
15.9%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 8: Kopitar 6-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Dowd
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Dowd
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Kopitar
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
51.0% (671)
+5.1%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
0.0% (2)
+63.3%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
41.5% (224)
+10.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +63.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
57.3% (553)
48.2% (471)
Away
56.4% (566)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
56.5%
48.3%
P2
58.0%
46.8%
P3
56.1%
51.0%
OT
57.9%
30.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |