Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (87% H2H, 31 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Dowd 50.7% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 53-23 in 76 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 97.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 82.9%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 84.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 89.3%
89.3%
10.7%
Kopitar
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
53
-
23
(76 meetings)
53
23
Kopitar
Dowd
Last 10: Kopitar 8-2 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
27
4
Kopitar
Dowd
31 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
9
12
Kopitar
Dowd
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
17
7
Kopitar
Dowd
24 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
52.3% (6,036)
+2.3%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
56.1% (164)
+3.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
44.1% (1,638)
+4.3%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Dowd
Home
55.3% (11,663)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Kopitar
Dowd
P1
54.5%
51.5%
P2
54.9%
50.4%
P3
53.9%
50.3%
OT
59.3%
45.9%
Final 5 min
55.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 07:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 3 | 05:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 12:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 03:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 2 | 01:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 19:03 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 17, 2025 | 1 | 07:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 15:45 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 19:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 13, 2025 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 3 | 09:59 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 2 | 03:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 22, 2024 | 1 | 12:15 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:56 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:28 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |