Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.2% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.3% vs Carrick 54.2% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 75.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 75.6%
Neutral zone
Carrick 59.9%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 62.5%
37.5%
62.5%
Kopitar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Carrick
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Kopitar
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
56.1% (749)
55.5% (470)
+0.6%
Power Play
63.3% (215)
66.7% (3)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
51.6% (155)
50.0% (58)
+1.6%
On power play, Carrick has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kopitar is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (355).
Kopitar shoots left. Carrick is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carrick
Home
57.3% (553)
58.6% (261)
Away
56.4% (566)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Kopitar
Carrick
P1
56.5%
55.9%
P2
58.0%
53.5%
P3
56.1%
55.6%
OT
57.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.3%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
56.8%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |