Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Carrick 52.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 73.2%
Defensive zone
Carrick 81.3%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.4%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 53.8%
46.2%
53.8%
Kopitar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Kopitar
Carrick
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
13
4
Kopitar
Carrick
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
10
Kopitar
Carrick
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
7
Kopitar
Carrick
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,761)
52.2% (2,544)
+2.4%
Power Play
59.2% (3,590)
61.3% (75)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,946)
50.8% (435)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,155).
Kopitar shoots left. Carrick is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,211).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carrick
Home
55.3% (11,663)
51.5% (1,477)
Away
53.8% (11,682)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Kopitar
Carrick
P1
54.5%
51.8%
P2
54.9%
52.3%
P3
53.9%
52.6%
OT
59.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
72.0%▲
60.0%
54.6%
Carrick
60.0%▲
57.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |