Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Evans shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Evans 52.0% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 81.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 61.5%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 59.9%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Czarnik
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Czarnik
Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Czarnik
Evans
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Evans
0
1
Czarnik
Evans
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
54.4% (807)
-6.2%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
55.0% (20)
+25.0%
On power play, Czarnik has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Czarnik is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Czarnik shoots right. Evans is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Evans
Home
48.6% (105)
53.7% (581)
Away
49.5% (99)
50.5% (556)
By Period
Czarnik
Evans
P1
53.6%
54.6%
P2
47.1%
50.0%
P3
46.2%
52.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 15, 2024 | 2 | 05:15 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Nov 9, 2023 | 3 | 04:54 | Offensive | Jake Evans |