Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Point on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Matthews wins 57.4% vs right-shot opponents — Point shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Point 50.9% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Point leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Point 83.9%
Defensive zone
Point 79.6%
Neutral zone
Point 78.3%
Result
Brayden Point favored at 80.0%
20.0%
80.0%
Matthews
Point
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Matthews
Point
Last 10: Matthews 3-7 Point
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Point
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Point
0
2
Matthews
Point
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Point
1
5
Matthews
Point
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Point
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
48.3% (573)
+8.0%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
62.4% (141)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
33.3% (3)
+16.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Matthews is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (474).
Matthews shoots left. Point is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Home / Away
Matthews
Point
Home
60.7% (572)
47.5% (356)
Away
52.4% (657)
54.6% (361)
By Period
Matthews
Point
P1
60.3%
50.0%
P2
55.6%
54.5%
P3
53.3%
48.9%
OT
45.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.5%
57.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
56.2%
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 07:08 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 15:45 | Offensive | Brayden Point |
| Apr 4, 2022 | 2 | 09:34 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 19:54 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 15:51 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 03:15 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 13:30 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Nov 4, 2021 | 1 | 05:36 | Neutral | Brayden Point |