Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Point 50.7% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Point 51.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 64.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 56.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Matthews
Point
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Matthews
Point
Last 9: Matthews 5-4 Point
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
1
Matthews
Point
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Matthews
Point
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Point
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
49.9% (711)
+2.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
56.2% (105)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
50.0% (6)
+25.0%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Point shoots right. Matthews is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (388).
Matthews shoots left. Point is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (572).
Home / Away
Matthews
Point
Home
54.8% (515)
53.3% (394)
Away
50.2% (534)
48.4% (428)
By Period
Matthews
Point
P1
54.4%
49.8%
P2
50.4%
53.0%
P3
51.8%
49.6%
OT
75.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
53.7%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
52.4%
Point
56.0%▲
48.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 04:46 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 19:01 | Defensive | Brayden Point |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:50 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 16:39 | Neutral | Brayden Point |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:21 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:11 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |