Auston Matthews vs Eetu Luostarinen
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +16.0% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Luostarinen 46.5% (+16.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 65.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 82.7%
Neutral zone
Matthews 77.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Matthews
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
0
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Luostarinen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
45.7% (92)
+14.1%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
45.0% (20)
+19.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
28.6% (14)
+27.7%
On penalty kill, Matthews has a +27.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Matthews
Luostarinen
Home
60.0% (520)
44.4% (36)
Away
59.3% (452)
43.3% (90)
By Period
Matthews
Luostarinen
P1
60.2%
38.9%
P2
58.2%
44.7%
P3
60.4%
45.1%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |