Auston Matthews vs Eetu Luostarinen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Luostarinen shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Luostarinen 44.2% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 95.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 85.1%
Neutral zone
Matthews 93.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 91.1%
91.1%
8.9%
Matthews
Luostarinen
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Matthews
Luostarinen
Last 10: Matthews 6-4 Luostarinen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Luostarinen
2
5
Matthews
Luostarinen
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
7
1
Matthews
Luostarinen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
Luostarinen
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Luostarinen
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
44.6% (1,784)
+9.4%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
43.5% (69)
+12.0%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
37.9% (206)
+11.9%
On power play, Matthews has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Luostarinen shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Luostarinen is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,369).
Home / Away
Matthews
Luostarinen
Home
56.3% (5,065)
44.8% (1,015)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
43.0% (1,044)
By Period
Matthews
Luostarinen
P1
55.5%
43.0%
P2
53.3%
45.4%
P3
52.8%
43.2%
OT
56.6%
37.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
44.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Luostarinen
46.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2026 | 3 | 06:21 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 17:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 6, 2026 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 1 | 17:23 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 10:34 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 06:00 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 09:15 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 06:17 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 17:38 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 14:25 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 23, 2023 | 1 | 05:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Jan 17, 2023 | 2 | 01:41 | Neutral | Eetu Luostarinen |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 09:12 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 27, 2022 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |